29 Jun · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1549
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fomin
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1514
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.