29 Jun · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tobiasz
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1391
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H45-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-23)