29 Jun · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1285
FormWLLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Cyndera
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
30%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+304
H2H31-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+304)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-5)