29 Jun · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1587
FormWLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Skotniczny
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1471
FormLWLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H36-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-14)