29 Jun · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1574
FormWWLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Zelezik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1346
FormWLLLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+228
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)