29 Jun · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1348
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1386
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.