29 Jun · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1439
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gesiarz
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1346
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)