29 Jun · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Warzecha
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1285
FormWLLWW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+253
H2H26-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-9)