29 Jun · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1408
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wnek
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1348
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H23-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)