29 Jun · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1447
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Cyndera
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)