29 Jun · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1302
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1386
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)