29 Jun · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1382
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Przewlocki
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1323
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H47-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-27)