29 Jun · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1477
FormWLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1665
FormWLWLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H100-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-62)