29 Jun · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Olbrycht
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1292
FormLLLWL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Olbrycht
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 86% · 1.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+266
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)