29 Jun · 23:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1518
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1629
FormLLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H105-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (105-42)