29 Jun · 23:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1372
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1477
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)