29 Jun · 23:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1585
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zelezik
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.