30 Jun · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1390
FormWWLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1585
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+195
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)