30 Jun · 00:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1362
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1384
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H23-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.