30 Jun · 00:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1477
FormWWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Warpas
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1362
FormLWWLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H21-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-14)