30 Jun · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1534
FormLWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Warzecha
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1349
FormLWWLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H38-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-6)