30 Jun · 00:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1372
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1384
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H47-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.