30 Jun · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1632
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1652
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H81-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.