30 Jun · 01:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1507
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kostepski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1508
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H25-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.