30 Jun · 02:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1545
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cyndera
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1576
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H26-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.