30 Jun · 03:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1482
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Warpas
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1373
FormLLWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H22-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-14)