30 Jun · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1409
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1545
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H53-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-11)