30 Jun · 04:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1507
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kostepski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1519
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H18-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.