30 Jun · 03:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1619
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1461
FormWLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H83-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-72)