30 Jun · 05:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1623
FormWLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gumulinski
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1501
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H106-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (106-42)