30 Jun · 06:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1300
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jedrysik
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1394
FormLWLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Jedrysik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)