30 Jun · 05:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1474
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stapor
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1375
FormLLWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)