30 Jun · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1375
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1515
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H32-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-22)