30 Jun · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1472
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1496
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H29-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.