30 Jun · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1474
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1496
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.