30 Jun · 06:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1501
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H100-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.