30 Jun · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Stapor
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1359
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)