30 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chlodnicki
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1530
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chlodnicki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.