30 Jun · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1485
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1494
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.