30 Jun · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1517
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1628
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)