30 Jun · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1532
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlodnicki
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1494
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chlodnicki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.