30 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1428
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1440
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.