30 Jun · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1369
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jedrysik
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1385
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jedrysik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H18-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.