30 Jun · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1324
FormWLLLL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1625
FormWWLWW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
30%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+301
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+301)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)