30 Jun · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gajda
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)