30 Jun · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1580
FormLLLLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Adamus
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1321
FormLWLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+259
H2H39-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-13)