30 Jun · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1453
FormWWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1635
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)