30 Jun · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1310
FormLLLLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1629
FormLWWWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+319
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+319)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)