30 Jun · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1439
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Przewlocki
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1434
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H9-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.