30 Jun · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1584
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1631
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H37-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-15)